3 Q&A from August 14th Webinar (Part II)
Rick S.- 12:02 pm
Q: Hi, I was wondering if I were to follow The Market Guys rule of buying at the close, should I worry about the stock going down below my stop intraday or should I be more concerned about waiting for the close to decide what to do?
A: You should pay very close attention to the closing price because this is the time when mutual fund managers, hedge fund manager, and institutions make final adjustments to their positions to calculate Net Asset Value (NAV). This is the point when they decide whether they are going to take home the position overnight. The Market Guys follow the money so we want to make sure we are buying with the big boys. With that said it is also important to protect your position should the stock not go in the direction you plan for. Find a key support level on the charts and be sure to set your stop far enough below so an erratic intra-day low won’t get in your way where it sells you out then bounces higher, yet close enough so you are not losing more than 1% of your total portfolio. This will take some practice but with time you will be sure to get it.
JP (Dublin) - 12:19 pm
Q: How much below the 20EMA do I place my stop?
A: If you are using the strategy we were talking about where you buy above the 20 day ema and sell below the 20 day ema….it’s the first closing price below that you sell and the first closing price above the EMA that you buy. It’s as simple as that.
Kate C. - 12:33 pm
Q: It’s probably easier to make money buying if the market is in an uptrend, and shorting if it’s in a downtrend. How much attention do you pay to the market trend in deciding which trades to take?
A: It’s all about trend analysis Kate. If the broad based market is trending higher then we lean more towards a long strategy. This is where we would either buy stocks or buy calls on these stocks or…sell puts to collect option premiums. Selling puts are a good way to get paid for a long position. But the point I want to stress is that you have to learn how to put your money in the direction of the money flow. If the trend is up in every market you are looking at then it wouldn’t make sense to go against that trend. You would only increase the odds against you.
Kate C. - 12:34 pm
Q: Second question: do you ever stay out of the market waiting for it to establish a direction?
A: Personally, the only time I am out of the market is when I am on vacation with my family or away from a computer for any length of time. Option traders can make money on the way up…on the way down…and even when the market is laying flat. That’s the beauty of option trading and it’s why we have so many people signing up for our courses. It’s worth the time you spend learning how to make money from time erosion. It’s work for me for the past 26 years and I’m sure with a little bit more study time it will work for you too.

3 Responses to “Q&A from August 14th Webinar (Part II)”
Hi AJ/Rick
Really interesting interview with Jim Rohrbach. My question relates to the practicalities of buying and selling after a stock hits the 20 day EMA in eTrade Pro. Is it possible to put a conditional order that will trigger if the stock closes below/above the 20 day EMA, without having to either hold onto your stock overnight or wait until the open before buying? I’m currently using the Yahoo alerts facility that AJ suggested, but there appears to be a degree of time lag with this.
As you suggest in your terrific book, I’m trying to KISS and would like to automate the process a bit, as it’s not always possible for me to get next to a computer around the close.
Many thanks
One of my problem is the past has been having the trend reverse on me, and losing all my gains and going into the red. I think that this is probably because I haven’t understood how to take profits. Yesterday, I took profits on two positions as they approached resistance. One had a hanging man as it approached the resistance line. The other was possibly slightly above past resistance, but the candle had a long top shadow and the volume has been declining as the price rose.
I’m up, not down, on these trades. Happy me.
Thanks, AJ and Rick.
If the stocks were at an all-time high, I wouldn’t have had the resistance line to help me decide that the doubtful candles were probably significant.
I’d like to address the questions put out by both Andrew and Kate:
Andrew, When using the 20 day moving average method it’s important to know that the stock has to CLOSE over the moving average before the buy signal is generated and not simply on the moving average. The sell signal is generated on a closing price below the moving average. Therefore if you use the Yahoo alerts to notify you the time lag should not make a difference.
Kate, If you have having trouble taking profits you can use the 30 day moving average as your trading coach. When the stock that you have bought moves and CLOSES below the moving average sell out of your position and only get back in when the stock closes above the moving average. This helps simplify the process and remove a lot of the stress associated with trading.
AJ
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